By Jeff Carlson, CFA, Sept 17, 2018 | Original post here.
President Trump issued an order on Sept. 17 for the immediate declassification of three series of documents related to the Russia investigation and the spying on his presidential campaign.
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The first set of documents relates to the FISA spy warrant application on campaign adviser Carter Page, specifically pages 10–12 and 17–34 of the June 2017 Page FISA renewal.
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The second set of documents relates to the series of FBI interviews with former Associate Deputy Attorney General Bruce Ohr.
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The third set of documents encompasses all FBI reports of interviews prepared in connection with the Page FISA applications.
In addition to the declassification of the documents, Trump has also directed the Department of Justice and the FBI to publicly release all text messages relating to the Russia investigation of former FBI Director James Comey, former Deputy FBI Director Andrew McCabe, the lead FBI agent on the Russia investigation Peter Strzok, FBI lawyers Lisa Page, and Ohr. The released texts are to be fully unredacted.
This declassification order is broader than had been anticipated. A declassification of the sequence of redacted pages from the Page FISA documents, along with the interviews of Ohr, had been assumed. This order goes much further.
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Pages 10–12 of the June 2017 Page FISA application relate to the Russian government’s efforts to influence the 2016 U.S. presidential election.
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Pages 17–34 relate to Page’s coordination with Russian government officials on 2016 U.S. Presidential Election influence activities. A number of these pages are fully redacted.
Chairman of the House Intelligence Committee Devin Nunes (R-CA) has noted that exculpatory information pertaining to Page was omitted from the FISA applications. The declassification of these sections will likely illustrate if that did occur. It’s also possible that more evidence of circular reporting between the FBI and certain reporters may be unveiled.
Trump specifically selected the third and final FISA Renewal dated June 29, 2017, as it is the most comprehensive of the four FISA documents, at 121 pages long. It begins on page 292 and ends on page 412 in the provided link.
The June FISA was signed by FISA Judge Raymond Dearie (page 412), an unknown FBI supervisory special agent (page 380), Deputy FBI Director Andrew McCabe (page 389), Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein (page 391) and an unknown DOJ attorney (page 392).
Ohr participated in a series of 12 known interviews with the FBI between Nov. 22, 2016, and May 15, 2017. Additionally there have been reports of interviews that continued outside of this timeframe.
The declassification order by Trump does not specify a date range or a specific number of interviews. The chosen wording specifies “all FBI reports of interviews with Bruce G. Ohr prepared in connection with the Russia investigation.” The FBI interviews may have served as a means for Ohr to transmit information from dossier author Christopher Steel to the FBI. This relationship was noted by Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa), who noted: The documents also raise questions about the role of Ohr—a senior Justice Department official whose wife worked for Fusion GPS — in continuing to pass allegations from Steele and Fusion GPS to the FBI after the FBI had terminated Steele as a source.
Ohr recently met with members of Congress and reportedly disclosed that he understood Steele’s information to be raw and uncorroborated hearsay. The third portion of the order appears to relate to underlying documentation used in the Page FISA: “all FBI reports of interviews prepared in connection with all Carter Page FISA applications.”
The requested documentation relates to the initial FISA application and the three subsequent renewals. This portion of the declassification order was somewhat unexpected and will provide a broader examination of reasoning used in obtaining a FISA warrant on Page.
Notably, this portion of the declassification order would likely include debriefings and interviews of lesser-known, but still crucial characters such as FBI informant Stefan Halper, Australian diplomat Alexander Downer and possibly Maltese Professor Joseph Mifsud. It should also include all communications with Steele.
This portion of the declassification order will also likely help to establish if Woods Procedures were followed.
The goal of the Woods Procedures is to ensure accuracy with regard to the following:
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The facts supporting probable cause.
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The existence and nature of any related criminal investigations or prosecutions involving the subject of the FISA.
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The existence and nature of any prior or ongoing asset relationship between the subject and the FBI.
It’s the third point in regard to Page that’s particularly important. That’s because Page cooperated with both the FBI and U.S. Attorneys for the Southern District of New York in the Evgeny Buryakov case, involving several Russian spies. Page almost certainly was providing testimony and/or details against Podobnyy in the Buryakov case.
Text Messages
The most unexpected portion of the declassification order calls for the fully unredacted release of all text messages from a number of key players in the Russia investigation.
Even with redactions, a number of material admissions have been discovered within the vast set of Strzok/Page texts. To this mix is being added the previously unreleased text messages from Comey, McCabe and Ohr.
Given their position and involvement in all facets of varying investigations, these are likely to prove a lot of new information. In some cases they may provide the undisclosed side of previously touched on conversations.
Concern of Precedent
The specific language chosen in the release, “At the request of a number of committees of Congress, and “for reasons of transparency,” likely relates to concerns over establishment of precedent.
White House counsel, Emmett Flood, had reportedly been against declassification ” out of the concern for the precedent it would set, as well as any unintended consequences of making the information public.”
In the language used in the declassification order, the White House is invoking multiple congressional committees from the legislative branch. This provides a legal shift similar to the declassification of the Nunes Memo, whereby the executive branch is complying with legislative branch oversight.
The reference to transparency also touches on Part I, Section 1.7 of Executive Order 13526, which governs classification processes:
Sec. 1.7. Classification Prohibitions and Limitations.
(a) In no case shall information be classified, continue to be maintained as classified, or fail to be declassified in order to:
(1) conceal violations of law, inefficiency, or administrative error;
(2) prevent embarrassment to a person, organization, or agency;
(3) restrain competition; or
(4) prevent or delay the release of information that does not require protection in the interest of the national security.
The invocation of Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats is also important. Coats technically maintains oversight of the intelligence community. The question now becomes how quickly do the various agencies comply with the presidential order. It is likely that there would have been prior coordination and agreements reached in advance of the declassification order. The material question yet to be answered is how involved and to what extent an agreement was reached with the DOJ and FBI.
The DOJ said in a statement.
“When the president issues such an order, it triggers a declassification review process that is conducted by various agencies within the intelligence community, in conjunction with the White House Counsel, to seek to ensure the safety of America’s national security interest. The department and the Federal Bureau of Investigation are already working with the Director of National Intelligence to comply with the president’s order.”
Cooperation by the DOJ and FBI will be crucial, as the agencies still retain full control of the text messages of Comey, McCabe, and Ohr. It is yet to be seen whether they will fully comply with the declassification order. Attention will now be focused on FBI Director Christopher Wray and Rosenstein throughout the declassification process.